Premier League Predictions 13

Week 12 Review -

A slight improvement this week and edging closer to the target of half of the results correct a week. This week the predictor got 4 correct results, 3 of which were correct score lines as well which is a shockingly high proportion. Once again we were denied a correct result (& score) in the early kick off by a 90+ minute goal, the early kickoff starting to become unlucky.

This takes the tally to 58 results with 11 of them being correct scores. We also lost more money on the betting system this week as the results got were mostly straightforward with quite high odds for success (Man C, Liverpool, Spurs) and are now at a £.120 loss for the season.

Week 13 Predictions -

I can't get the graphic to work this week so here is a table, unfortunately this means the predicted GD has been excluded and it is just the results.

Home Predicted Score Away Most Confident
Brighton 1-1 Leicester
Everton 2-1 Cardiff Yes
Fulham 1-1 Southampton
Man United 2-0 Crystal Palace Yes
Watford 1-1 Liverpool
West Ham 0-1 Man City
Tottenham 1-1 Chelsea
Bournemouth 1-1 Arsenal
Wolves 2-0 Huddersfield
Burnley 1-1 Newcastle

Not as much to comment on without the predicted GD but still a few interesting ones in there, specifically Arsenal and Liverpool both drawing away understandable given the successful seasons both Watford and Bournemouth have had so far.

While both MUDvCRY and EVEvCAR are logical most confident results it is odd that WOLvHUD doesn't make it int the top 2 as it is a larger score margin than Everton's but this is probably due to 1 of two reasons. The first is that Wolves and Huddersfield are closer in the table and that naturally makes the predictor less confident of the result or the other is that the xG make it highly likely that Cardiff will score one and very unlikely that Everton will score 3 so despite it possibly predicting a 2 goal win it sticks with 1 goal as it is the more likely result based on how much we would expect them to score. All in all it seems that the predictor is confident that if Wolves win it'll be by a larger margin, it is just less confident that they will than another team.

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